Democratic Primary True Vote Model: Sanders has 52%

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Richard Charnin's Blog

Democratic Primaries True Vote Model: Bernie has 52%

Richard Charnin
June 19, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet

This model estimates Sanders’ True Vote. The base case estimate is that Sanders had 52.3% of the total vote in primaries and caucuses.

It is important to note that Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his
1) recorded share  in 24 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 190,000.  
2) recorded share by greater than the margin of error in 11 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion. 

Is the exit poll shift to Clinton just pure luck? Or is something else going on? 

In the primaries, it is likely that millions of prospective Sanders voters never voted.  The model assumes that Sanders…

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Why Hillary Clinton Is Not Entitled to Bernie Sanders’ Supporters

Our thoughts exactly!

We Watched, So You Don’t Have To

Yes, we sat through the entire Republican debate. So that you don’t have to, we offer what we believe are the highlights of the two-hour ordeal. While not necessarily direct quotes, we have very nearly captured the actual utterances that came out of the mouths of the participants in the January 14^th Republican Debate.

The evening began with the worst version of the national anthem to come out of an ill-fitting blue dress ever. And Kasich did not wear the mandatory flag pin. Our commentary is in italics.

Bartiromo:   Our Facebook research showed… isn’t “Facebook research” an oxymoron?

Cruz:           [already-freed] Navy captives of Iran, on their knees.

Carson: Simultaneous power grid and cyber attacks will create chaos. Will the computers be able to run these programs without electricity?
Trump: “Trump way up” – I like this poll. If [Cruz] beats the rest of the field…the audience boos because they want ME!

Rubio: I hate to interrupt this episode of Court TV…
Court TV rebranded in 2008

 

Carson: I was mentioned, too. He said ‘everybody’!
Bartiromo: [Hillary Clinton] is an enabler of sexual indiscretion.
Carson: The “comments” section didn’t come from our Judeo-Christian roots.

Bush: If you commit a crime with a gun [in FL], you’re going away for a long, long while.

Rubio: [addressing the Second Amendment right of US citizens to own guns] ISIS doesn’t buy their guns from a gun show.
Cruz: Everybody knows what New York values are. You’re from New York? Then you might not.
Bush: [speaking on Iran] We have to move our embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Embassies are located in capital cities; Israel named Tel Aviv their capital.
Christie: Syrians should stay in Syria.


Bush: These statements are unhinged.
Trump: People come into this country. They live, they shoot.
Rubio: If you listened to the President the other night…

 

 

Trump: The New York Times, they’re always wrong. I know so much about China, Carl Icahn endorsed me. I love China.

Cruz: Solve the China problem through my flat tax and by abolishing the IRS.

Bartiromo: Actually asked Christie a question about bridges…

Carson: …the price of laundry detergent goes up 50¢ because of regulation…

 
Rubio: VAT taxes…which many companies in Europe have…

 

Christie: I’d like to interrupt this debate of the Senate… We give benefit of the doubt to criminals… Yeah. That’s called “presumption of innocence”.See Coffin v. U.S. 156 U.S. 432 (1895)

Rubio scrutinized Cruz’s senate voting record, when he [Rubio] doesn’t even bother to show up to vote. The moderators presented a Facebook Fears Word Cloud!! And, in closing statements, Rubio said “in 2008, we elected someone who wasn’t interested in fixing this country…” Finally: an admission that GW Bush broke it?

The End. Thankfully.
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When Bernie Promised to #SayHerName #SandraBland

When will your candidate #SayHerName?

Hannah Adair Bonner

“That’s Bernie Sanders,” my sister said, indicating an unpretentious man with a full head of white hair that had slipped past me and tucked himself into a table in the shadowy corner of East Street Cafe, a Thai restaurant in Washington DC’s Union Station.

“Really? Are you sure?” I asked her doubtfully, as I took another bite of my basil chicken across the table from Ms. Geneva Reed-Veal. For better or for worse, he was not a man who had quite the signature look that more polished politicians cultivate; which is probably part of his charm.

I honestly was not sure if it really was him, but my sister has been working around DC politicians for almost 20 years, so I took her word for it. “Someone should go talk to him. You know he has been saying Sandra Bland’s name for months. Someone should tell him you guys are…

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We were warned as far back as 1941…

A Passage From the Declaration of Independence

“That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.–Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government.”

Happy Independence Day! Exercise your franchise daily and remember: 2014 is right around the corner!

Read more: Fourth Of July – Happy Fourth – Esquire

Sequestration? What Sequestration?

On the heels of the super-fast passage of a law that solved the problem of their flight delays, Congress is now considering a law that mandates supermarkets to allow members of Congress to use the 10-item checkout-lanes, regardless of the number of items in their cart.  President Obama has been silent on the subject, but if Congressmen want to spend money, what are the chances of a veto?  See, Congress is able to solve problems – THEIR problems!